Upcoming predictions

NBA win probabilities, each with its evidence strength and confidence.

No upcoming games are on the board yet.

Predictions appear here automatically once the live schedule feed is connected and a game is within two weeks of tip-off. Nothing on this site is entered by hand.

Verified history: 59,008 games, through 2014-15
Production model: 20260911.9d4de0
Live data feeds: BALLDONTLIE, The Odds API not connected

Recently resolved

All results

No live predictions have resolved yet. Every one will be listed here, right or wrong.

Model performance

Methodology and calibration

The live track record starts with the first resolved regular-season prediction.

Walk-forward backtest over the 2005-06 to 2014-15 seasons, 12,900 games: Brier 0.206 against 0.240 for always picking the home team. Simulated out of sample, not live results.

Updated Thursday, September 24, 2026